TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on June 11 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on June 11 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street equity analysts publish consensus estimates for GOOGL's near-term direction, prediction markets incorporate real-time information, options market signals, and retail positioning. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to consensus analyst sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish outcomes than the research community expects. This comparison helps identify potential mispricings or shifts in forward-looking sentiment.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of yes-share volume to total volume, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 dollar per share. Traders profit if their position aligns with the final outcome on June 11. Liquidity and spreads vary throughout the day, so monitoring order book depth helps you execute at favorable prices. The market's price discovery process continuously updates as new information about Google's fundamentals and technicals emerges.
The market resolves at Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by Google's official closing price on June 11 as reported by major financial data providers. The outcome is binary: if GOOGL closes at or above the specified price level, yes-share holders win; if it closes below, no-share holders win. There is no partial resolution or ambiguity once the market close data is finalized. Traders should monitor for any corporate actions or data corrections that might affect the official closing price used for settlement.
Key catalysts include Google's earnings announcements, regulatory developments affecting Big Tech, macroeconomic data impacting growth stocks, and shifts in AI competition or advertising market trends. Options market activity and implied volatility can signal trader expectations around June 11. Broader tech sector momentum, changes in interest rate expectations, and geopolitical events also influence GOOGL's price trajectory. Real-time news flow, insider trading disclosures, and analyst upgrades or downgrades may trigger sharp repricing on Polymarket. Monitor technical support and resistance levels as well as correlation with the Nasdaq-100 for directional clues.