TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on July 9?
polymarket

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on July 9?

Volume:
$846

$355

 - Polymarket

$355 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$355

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$370

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$365

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$375

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$360

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The Google stock price market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for whether GOOGL will close above a specified threshold on July 9. Traders can monitor current implied probability, recent trading activity, and liquidity depth to understand how the market is pricing this outcome. The dashboard displays order book data and allows participants to view the consensus forecast as it evolves, giving a transparent window into collective market expectations around Google's stock performance on the settlement date.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than periodic research updates. Traders in this market are betting directly on whether Google closes above the threshold, whereas equity analysts typically issue longer-term price targets with different methodologies and time horizons. Comparing the implied probability here to consensus analyst views can reveal whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution than the research community, though both sources reflect different information sets and incentive structures.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism where buying YES shares drives the price up and selling drives it down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with each trade updating the price in real time. Liquidity providers and speculators continuously adjust positions based on new information, news flow, and their own forecasts of Google's stock movement, resulting in a dynamic price that aggregates distributed knowledge across the trading community.

Major catalysts that could shift odds include Google's earnings announcements, changes in AI competition or regulatory scrutiny, macroeconomic data affecting tech stocks broadly, and shifts in interest rate expectations. Product launches, management commentary, and analyst upgrades or downgrades can also trigger repricing. Broader market volatility, sector rotation, and geopolitical developments affecting advertising and cloud revenue streams may influence trader sentiment. Real-time news flow and technical levels near the threshold will likely drive intraday volatility as the resolution date approaches.