TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.
Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts often diverge because they reflect different methodologies. Analysts typically issue price targets based on fundamental research and earnings models, while prediction markets aggregate real-time trader beliefs and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. This market's odds may run ahead of or lag behind published analyst consensus, depending on how quickly new information flows into trading activity. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in factors analysts have overlooked or vice versa, making both signals valuable for investors tracking Google's stock trajectory.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market operates as an automated market maker where traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" or "no" outcomes. The price of each share fluctuates based on order flow and the depth of liquidity available. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether Google's closing price will exceed the specified level, with payouts determined by the final market price at resolution. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures that odds update in real time as new information and trading activity arrive.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, when the trading window closes and the outcome is finalized. The result is determined by verifying Google's official closing price on that date against credible public sources. Once the event is confirmed, payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor market conditions closely as the resolution date approaches, as late-breaking news or market movements can shift odds significantly in the final hours.
Several catalysts could shift this market materially before resolution. Earnings announcements, regulatory developments, macroeconomic data, and shifts in tech sector sentiment all influence Google's stock price. Major product launches, competitive threats, or changes in advertising market conditions may also trigger repricing. Additionally, broader market volatility, interest rate expectations, and geopolitical events can impact large-cap tech stocks. Traders monitoring this market should watch financial news, earnings calendars, and technical levels to anticipate momentum shifts and adjust positions accordingly.