TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
predict

Will gold price go up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 9:15 AM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 9:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

 - Predict

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:15h:03m

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 3m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T14:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T14:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the gold price movement market displays the current implied probabilities for gold increasing or decreasing in value between 9:15 AM and 9:30 AM ET on November 6. It also shows the total volume traded in this market, currently at $0, and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. You can also view the price history to see how the market has been pricing in different outcomes over time. This provides a real-time view of what traders believe will happen with the gold price.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts provide price targets and directional predictions for gold, this market aggregates the views of a diverse group of individuals, allowing their combined judgment to be expressed through trading activity. It’s common to see discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and those offered by conventional financial news sources or individual expert opinions, potentially reflecting different information sets or risk assessments. This market provides a dynamic, real-time alternative to static analyst reports.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the gold price will be up or down during the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the aggregated sentiment of all participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price effectively represents the probability that the outcome will be 'gold up' as perceived by traders on Predict. Trading volume and order book depth also influence price discovery in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the gold price between 9:15 AM and 9:30 AM ET on November 6. If the price is higher at 9:30 AM than at 9:15 AM, the 'gold up' outcome will be verified; otherwise, the 'gold down' outcome will be verified. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could significantly influence the gold price movement market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation figures or employment reports, often trigger volatility in gold prices. Geopolitical events, including escalating tensions or major political announcements, can also drive investors towards gold as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, any significant shifts in US dollar strength or interest rate expectations could impact the market. Finally, major news related to central bank policies regarding gold reserves could also move this market substantially.