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416,910

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Gold Up or Down - November 6, 4PM-4:15PM ET
predict

Will gold be up or down by November 6?

Oct 30, 2026, 4:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:15 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 4PM-4:15PM ET

 - Predict

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 4PM-4:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:15h:50m

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 4PM-4:15PM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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predict

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 4PM-4:15PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 50m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T21:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T21:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the gold price market tracks the current implied probabilities for the price of gold to move up or down. You’ll find a real-time display of the odds, a price history chart showing how probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume for this market is $0. This information allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific prediction market.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on economic indicators and fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in situations with high uncertainty or unexpected events. Comparing this market to expert opinions can provide a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes, highlighting areas of agreement and disagreement.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the gold price will move up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating an implied probability for each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the price will rise, the higher the price of the 'up' contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the gold price between 4:00 PM and 4:15 PM ET on November 6th. Whether the price moves up or down will determine the winning outcome in this market. The final price movement will be verified against credible public sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation reports or employment figures, often impact gold prices. Geopolitical events, including shifts in global stability or trade tensions, can also drive investor demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, announcements from central banks regarding monetary policy, like interest rate changes, could trigger substantial price movements. Any major news impacting the US dollar’s strength will also likely influence the gold price.