TOTAL VOLUME:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1PM ET
predict

Will gold price go up or down?

Oct 30, 2026, 12:45 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 1:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1PM ET

 - Predict

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:19h:59m

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1PM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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predict

Gold Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 59m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T17:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T17:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the gold price movement market tracks the current odds of gold increasing or decreasing in value, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This information allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are assessing the likelihood of price changes.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on macroeconomic indicators and fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of data or the inclusion of factors not typically considered by analysts. It's common to see this market anticipate shifts in sentiment before they are reflected in mainstream financial commentary, offering a unique insight into potential price movements.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the gold price will be up or down at the specified time. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price effectively represents the market’s consensus expectation, and changes in price signal shifts in that expectation. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the spot price of gold between 12:45 PM ET and 1:00 PM ET on November 6th. If the price is higher at 1:00 PM ET than at 12:45 PM ET, the ‘Up’ outcome will prevail; otherwise, the ‘Down’ outcome will be determined. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation reports or employment figures, are major catalysts. Geopolitical events, like escalating tensions or major policy announcements from central banks, can also drive substantial price fluctuations. Additionally, shifts in investor risk appetite or changes in the US dollar’s strength could influence gold prices. Any surprise announcements related to gold production or demand from major economies like China or India could also impact trading activity in this market.