TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Gold Up or Down - November 5, 9PM-9:15PM ET
predict

Will gold price go up or down?

Oct 29, 2026, 9:00 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 9:15 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 9PM-9:15PM ET

 - Predict

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 9PM-9:15PM ET - Predict

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Neutral

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·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:01h:01m

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 9PM-9:15PM ET

Amount

$

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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predict

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 9PM-9:15PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
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N/A
3d 1h 1m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T02:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T02:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the gold price movement market tracks the current implied probabilities of gold increasing or decreasing in value between 9PM and 9:15PM ET on November 5th. You’ll find a real-time view of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has traded, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The overall volume traded in this market is $0, reflecting the collective predictions of users on Predict.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While many financial analysts are offering predictions regarding gold’s performance, this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals who are putting their money where their mouth is. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert opinions and the crowd’s assessment, especially when considering short-term price movements. This difference can be valuable for identifying potential blind spots in conventional analysis and gauging overall market sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the gold price between 9PM and 9:15PM ET on November 5th. If the price increases during that period, the 'up' contracts will pay out; if it decreases, the 'down' contracts will pay out. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation figures or employment numbers, often influence gold prices. Geopolitical events, including international conflicts or political instability, frequently drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Furthermore, statements from central banks regarding monetary policy, particularly interest rate decisions, can trigger substantial price movements. Any surprise announcements or shifts in global risk sentiment could lead to considerable trading activity in this market.