TOTAL VOLUME:

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$1,884,820,873

413,109

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Gold Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8PM ET
predict

Will gold price go up or down?

Oct 29, 2026, 7:45 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$0N/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8PM ET

 - Predict

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8PM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:03h:11m

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8PM ET

Amount

$

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predict

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Predict isn't quoting a YES price right now Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
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predict

Gold Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8PM ET

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 3h 11m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T00:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the XAU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the XAU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xau-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink XAU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-06T00:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the gold price movement market tracks the current odds of gold increasing or decreasing in value, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding the anticipated direction of the gold price. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are positioning themselves before the November 5th event.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for gold. While many analysts are predicting continued volatility in the gold market due to global economic uncertainty, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders on Predict regarding the short-term price movement. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and analyst opinions can highlight areas of disagreement or differing levels of confidence in various economic indicators. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own view on the gold price.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in the gold price between 7:45 PM ET and 8:00 PM ET on November 5th. If the price increases during that 15-minute window, the 'Up' outcome will win; if it decreases or remains unchanged, the 'Down' outcome will win. Traders should monitor the gold price closely as the resolution time approaches to understand the potential outcome of this market.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation reports or employment figures, often impact gold prices. Geopolitical events, including shifts in international relations or unexpected conflicts, can also drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, any major announcements from central banks regarding monetary policy could influence investor sentiment and affect the price of gold. Traders should stay informed about these developments to anticipate potential shifts in this market.