TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Gold price on Oct 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Gold price on Oct 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$119,487

Above $4058

 - Kalshi

Above $4058 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $4058

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,769
N/A
N/A
$8,354
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4048

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,051
N/A
N/A
$4,186
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4008

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,272
N/A
N/A
$2,686
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4018

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,133
N/A
N/A
$2,751
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4038

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,724
N/A
N/A
$2,449
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4028

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,440
N/A
N/A
$1,532
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3988

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,773
N/A
N/A
$848
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3998

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,327
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3978

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,043
N/A
N/A
$1,334
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3968

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,034
N/A
N/A
$885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3958

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$1,003
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3908

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$970
N/A
N/A
$594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3948

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$767
N/A
N/A
$767
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3918

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$671
N/A
N/A
$671
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3878

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3928

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3938

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4068

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,079
N/A
N/A
$22,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4088

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,002
N/A
N/A
$3,659
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4078

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,953
N/A
N/A
$3,438
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4108

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,390
N/A
N/A
$2,368
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4098

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,355
N/A
N/A
$2,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4198

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$887
N/A
N/A
$887
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4158

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3818

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of gold at a specific moment in the future, reflecting real-time market conditions at that exact timestamp. The outcome depends entirely on whether the price surpasses one of several predefined thresholds when trading concludes on the specified date and time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold at 5:00 PM EDT on October 27, 2026. If the price exceeds any of the specified thresholds—ranging from $3818 to $4208 per troy ounce—the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the closing price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the 4:59 PM candlestick closes at 5:00 PM). If no data is published for the specified time, the most recently available published data is used to determine the outcome.