TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Gold price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$143,067

Above $4132

 - Kalshi

Above $4132 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $4132

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,757
N/A
N/A
$5,802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4122

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,667
N/A
N/A
$3,886
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4112

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,381
N/A
N/A
$3,715
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4092

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,978
N/A
N/A
$3,105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4102

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,125
N/A
N/A
$1,434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4072

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,751
N/A
N/A
$2,749
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4082

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,854
N/A
N/A
$1,289
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4042

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
$1,069
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4032

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$263
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4062

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4052

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4022

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4142

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,197
N/A
N/A
$56,676
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4152

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,102
N/A
N/A
$3,011
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4182

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,542
N/A
N/A
$3,435
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4162

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,607
N/A
N/A
$1,319
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4172

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,448
N/A
N/A
$1,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4212

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
$515
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4202

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
$217
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4192

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4252

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3922

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3932

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3942

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $3952

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the precise closing price of gold at a specific moment, offering a snapshot of market valuation at the exact close of a one-minute trading interval. The outcome depends solely on whether the price exceeds a set threshold, reflecting immediate market conditions without broader trend analysis.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold at 5:00 PM EDT on October 21, 2026. If the price exceeds any of the specified thresholds—ranging from $3922 to $4312 per troy ounce—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and the closing price represents the final trade price of the preceding one-minute interval (i.e., trades occurring between 4:59:00 PM and 4:59:59 PM). If no data is available for the specified timestamp, the most recent published data is used for resolution.