TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gold price on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Gold price on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$137,590

above $3969

 - Kalshi

above $3969 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $3969

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,778
N/A
N/A
$11,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3959

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,612
N/A
N/A
$2,546
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3949

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,630
N/A
N/A
$2,275
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3939

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,964
N/A
N/A
$1,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3829

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,547
N/A
N/A
$1,547
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3929

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$893
N/A
N/A
$893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3919

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
$491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3899

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
$365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3859

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3879

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3909

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3889

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$216
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3849

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3839

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3979

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,608
N/A
N/A
$11,918
Settled
No
kalshi

above $3989

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,015
N/A
N/A
$8,844
Settled
No
kalshi

above $3999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,051
N/A
N/A
$6,344
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4039

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,404
N/A
N/A
$5,513
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4029

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,409
N/A
N/A
$2,747
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4009

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,185
N/A
N/A
$3,512
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4059

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,093
N/A
N/A
$3,680
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4049

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,847
N/A
N/A
$3,149
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4069

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,234
N/A
N/A
$2,246
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4079

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,874
N/A
N/A
$1,765
Settled
No
kalshi

above $4019

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,867
N/A
N/A
$2,294
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

These markets track the price of gold on July 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, with each market testing whether the price closes above a specific threshold ranging from $3,829 to $4,219 per troy ounce.

Kalshi

Settlement is determined by the 1-minute candlestick close price for gold at 5:00 PM EDT on July 16, 2026, with prices rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. The close price is defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the 4:59 PM candlestick reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM). If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution. Each market resolves to Yes if the settlement price exceeds its designated threshold.