TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gold price on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Gold price on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$217,419

above $4050

 - Kalshi

above $4050 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above $4050

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,968
N/A
N/A
$9,906
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $4060

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,876
N/A
N/A
$7,933
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $4040

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,833
N/A
N/A
$15,287
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $4030

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,728
N/A
N/A
$7,683
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $4000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,609
N/A
N/A
$11,245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $4020

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,642
N/A
N/A
$6,169
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3990

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,010
N/A
N/A
$6,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $4010

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,537
N/A
N/A
$5,561
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3980

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,444
N/A
N/A
$3,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3890

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,604
N/A
N/A
$4,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3970

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,332
N/A
N/A
$2,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3960

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,241
N/A
N/A
$1,034
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3940

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,231
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3950

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,187
N/A
N/A
$913
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3930

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,114
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3920

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$887
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$873
N/A
N/A
$873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3910

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$843
N/A
N/A
$781
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3830

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3880

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3820

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3870

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3860

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above $3840

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the gold spot price at a specific moment on July 15, 2026. Gold is a precious metal and safe-haven asset whose price reflects inflation expectations, currency movements, interest rates, and geopolitical risk. The settlement uses the closing price of a one-minute candlestick at 5:00 PM EDT.

Kalshi

Settlement resolves based on the 1-minute candlestick close price for gold on July 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, with prices ranging from above $3,820 to above $4,210 USD per troy ounce. The close price is defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the 4:59 PM candlestick closes at 5:00:00 PM). All settlement values are rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency at the designated time, the most recently available published data will be used for resolution. Each price threshold represents a separate binary outcome, with resolution to Yes if the close price exceeds the specified threshold.