TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Gold price on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Volume:
$131,090

Above $4442

 - Kalshi

Above $4442 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $4442

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,164
N/A
N/A
$3,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4432

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,478
N/A
N/A
$3,675
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4422

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,498
N/A
N/A
$3,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4402

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,668
N/A
N/A
$3,141
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4412

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,177
N/A
N/A
$1,987
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4392.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,099
N/A
N/A
$3,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4382.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$998
N/A
N/A
$993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4302.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
$561
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4372.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4352.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4332.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4362.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4342.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4312.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4322.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $4452

0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,110
N/A
N/A
$9,427
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4462

0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,091
N/A
N/A
$9,434
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4472

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,433
N/A
N/A
$7,765
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4492

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,570
N/A
N/A
$3,843
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4502

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,706
N/A
N/A
$2,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4482

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,542
N/A
N/A
$1,976
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4512

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,444
N/A
N/A
$2,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4532

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,218
N/A
N/A
$1,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4632

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,893
N/A
N/A
$1,795
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4542

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,258
N/A
N/A
$1,026
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

The event tracks the precise closing price of gold at a specific moment, August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, using one-minute candlestick data. Investors and analysts often monitor such benchmarks to gauge market sentiment and make informed decisions about commodity exposure.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold at 5:00 PM EDT on August 31, 2026. If the price exceeds any of the specified thresholds—ranging from $4,402 to $4,792 per troy ounce—the corresponding market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No". The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places, with the closing price defined as the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval (e.g., the 4:59 PM candlestick closes at 5:00 PM). If no data is published for the specified time, the most recently available published data is used to determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the gold price market, along with 24-hour volume of $116,073. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the key date, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and activity without combining data from any other venue.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a collective trader perspective that can diverge significantly. While analysts may issue target prices or trend assessments, the probability here is set by active betting on Kalshi. Those discrepancies often highlight areas where market participants see higher or lower likelihoods than consensus projections.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be checked against widely accepted sources at the specified time, determining whether the contract settles for the 'Yes' or 'No' position based on that snapshot.

Economic data releases, central bank announcements, geopolitical developments, and shifts in currency strength can all influence this market. Any event that changes expectations for interest rates or inflation—key drivers of gold demand—may cause rapid re-pricing. Trader reactions to major news flows will largely set the direction in the months leading to Aug 31, 2026.