TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The secondary market ticket price for entrance to a World Cup semi-final match at Mercedes-Benz Stadium will be tracked on TicketData, measuring ticket price escalation across multiple price points as the event approaches.
Each outcome resolves to Yes if the get-in price for World Cup Match 102 (semi-final) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on TicketData exceeds the specified dollar threshold at 3:00 PM ET on July 15, 2026. Resolution is based on the published value at the exact time specified; if no data is available by expiration, the last available value is used. Revisions or corrections published after the initial value do not affect resolution. The outcomes range from above $1,750 to above $4,500 in $250 increments.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus on World Cup Semi-Final ticket get-in prices at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, often diverging from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on historical pricing models and demand surveys, prediction markets aggregate live information from traders with financial incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing Kalshi odds to published analyst estimates and secondary-market data can reveal whether traders expect ticket prices to exceed or fall short of expert predictions, offering an alternative data source for ticket pricing expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Get-in price contracts on Kalshi are priced based on trader bids and offers reflecting expected ticket entry costs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium for the World Cup Semi-Final. The market price moves as new information emerges about demand, stadium capacity, and secondary-market activity. Traders buy or sell shares corresponding to different price ranges or point estimates, and the equilibrium price reflects the collective forecast of when tickets will first trade hands. Volume and bid-ask spreads indicate confidence and liquidity in the pricing outcome.
The Get-in price of the World Cup Semi-Final market on Kalshi resolves on Jul 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual get-in price observed at Mercedes-Benz Stadium for the semi-final match, typically based on verified secondary-market data or official ticket exchange records. The market outcome reflects the lowest price at which tickets genuinely changed hands on or before the resolution date, ensuring traders' forecasts are measured against real market activity rather than speculation.
Several factors could shift the get-in price forecast for the World Cup Semi-Final at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Team qualification results and matchup appeal will influence demand and secondary-market supply. Stadium capacity announcements, local economic conditions, and currency fluctuations may affect buyer willingness to pay. Competing events or travel disruptions could reduce attendance pressure. Media coverage and hype surrounding the semi-final teams will shape perceived scarcity. Additionally, broader ticket-resale platform trends and historical pricing patterns from previous World Cup semi-finals provide context for trader expectations.