TOTAL VOLUME:
$92.8b
24H VOL:
$206,606,997
24H TRANSACTIONS:
886,030,093
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,031,539,858
780,473
Markets across
13,848
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
869
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
46%
VS.
Kalshi:
54%
Time left: 09d:13h:32m
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The secondary market ticket price for entrance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final will be tracked on TicketData, with interest in how ticket prices escalate across various price thresholds in the days leading up to the match.
If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $4500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $5000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $5500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $6000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $6500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $7000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $7500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $8000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $8500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $9000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $9500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $10000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $10500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $11000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $11500 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Get-in price of the 2026 World Cup Final on TicketData is above $12000 at 3:00PM ET July 18th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time aggregated trader sentiment and are often compared to traditional analyst forecasts and financial models. While analysts may publish point estimates or ranges based on historical data and tournament structure, prediction markets incorporate continuous updates from participants with financial incentives to price accurately. Comparing the two approaches can reveal where markets diverge from expert consensus, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued scenarios for the World Cup Final get-in price.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the get-in price of the World Cup Final is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their expectations of the entry price. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with each trade updating the bid-ask spread. Kalshi's regulatory framework and liquidity dynamics shape how this financial outcome is valued, and traders can enter or exit positions throughout the trading window leading up to Jul 19, 2026.
The market resolves on Jul 19, 2026, marking the end of trading for this event. Resolution is determined by the actual get-in price established at the World Cup Final, which reflects the opening or entry price at that time. Once the event occurs and the final price is confirmed, the market settles based on the verified outcome, and traders' positions are credited or debited accordingly.
Several factors could shift the get-in price of the World Cup Final before resolution. Changes in global economic conditions, currency fluctuations, and shifts in tournament dynamics or team performance could influence pricing expectations. Media coverage, sponsor announcements, and venue-related developments may also impact sentiment. Additionally, major geopolitical or financial events could alter market participants' views on the likely entry price, causing traders to adjust positions and move the market price in real time.
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