TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 3:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Germany's unemployment rate for the month of August 2026, reflecting the health of the country's labor market and economic conditions during that period. A higher unemployment rate often signals economic challenges, while a lower rate may indicate growth and job market stability.
The event resolves based on whether Germany's officially reported unemployment rate for August 2026 exceeds specified threshold percentages, ranging from 5.9% to 6.8%. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, and the outcome for each is determined by comparing the actual published rate against its respective threshold. If the reported rate is above the threshold for a given market, that market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets are evaluated using the same official data source for Germany's unemployment statistics for that month, ensuring consistency across thresholds.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final unemployment rate will be determined by official data releases from Germany’s statistical office, and the market will close based on that authoritative figure.
Economic reports such as German industrial production, consumer confidence surveys, or major policy announcements from the European Central Bank could shift this market. Political developments affecting labor markets, trade data surprises, or unexpected shifts in employment sectors will also influence trader expectations. Any data releasing close to Sep 4, 2026 will have the most impact on pricing.