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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Economics
Germany unemployment rate in August
kalshi

What will Germany's unemployment rate be in August?

Volume:
$1,446

Above 6.3%

 - Kalshi

Above 6.3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 3:50 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 6.3%

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.4%

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$875
N/A
N/A
$873
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.6%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.9%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.0%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.1%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.2%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.7%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6.8%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks Germany's unemployment rate for the month of August 2026, reflecting the health of the country's labor market and economic conditions during that period. A higher unemployment rate often signals economic challenges, while a lower rate may indicate growth and job market stability.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Germany's officially reported unemployment rate for August 2026 exceeds specified threshold percentages, ranging from 5.9% to 6.8%. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, and the outcome for each is determined by comparing the actual published rate against its respective threshold. If the reported rate is above the threshold for a given market, that market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets are evaluated using the same official data source for Germany's unemployment statistics for that month, ensuring consistency across thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market’s odds reflect a distinct view compared to many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean on recent economic trends and policy signals, traders are incorporating additional variables and short-term expectations. The gap between this market and traditional forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or emerging shifts in market sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final unemployment rate will be determined by official data releases from Germany’s statistical office, and the market will close based on that authoritative figure.

Economic reports such as German industrial production, consumer confidence surveys, or major policy announcements from the European Central Bank could shift this market. Political developments affecting labor markets, trade data surprises, or unexpected shifts in employment sectors will also influence trader expectations. Any data releasing close to Sep 4, 2026 will have the most impact on pricing.