TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 2:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the share of votes Chris Carr is expected to capture in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary election. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Carr receives between 10% and 15% of the popular vote—stands at 99.0%, while the outcome that he receives at least 20% of the vote is at 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by the certified popular vote percentage from the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary's first round. Watch the primary election results expected around May 2027 for the official vote tallies that will settle this market.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations about Chris Carr's primary vote share, which may diverge from traditional polling averages. Markets incorporate real-time information, campaign developments, and trader conviction, whereas polls capture voter sentiment at a single point in time. Comparing Kalshi odds to published polling can reveal whether markets are pricing in different assumptions about turnout, candidate momentum, or late-breaking campaign events. Tracking both sources helps identify where consensus exists and where market participants see opportunities.
The Georgia Republican Governor primary: Chris Carr market resolves on May 19, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official vote count and percentage Chris Carr receives in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary. The outcome will be confirmed once state election authorities certify primary results. Traders should monitor official Georgia Secretary of State announcements and candidate filings to stay informed about the primary schedule and any potential changes to the election timeline.
Key catalysts for Chris Carr's market include campaign announcements, endorsements from prominent Georgia Republicans, debate performances, and shifts in candidate field composition. Polling releases showing changes in his support levels, fundraising reports, and media coverage of his record as Attorney General could all influence trader expectations. Primary election law changes, candidate withdrawals, or unexpected controversies involving Carr or rivals may reprrice the contract significantly. Tracking Georgia political news, campaign spending, and early voting data will help predict how odds may move before May 19, 2027.