TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Georgia Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
polymarket

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Volume:
$33,482

Jackson 5–10%

 - Polymarket

Jackson 5–10% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 8:48 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jackson 5–10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.9¢
N/A
$21,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jackson <5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jackson 10–15%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jackson 15%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jones 5–10%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jones <5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jones 15%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jones 10–15%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

The Georgia Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Polymarket

The Georgia Gubernatorial Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Gubernatorial Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Georgia Republican gubernatorial runoff displays real-time odds and historical price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to the final margin of victory. The interface shows current implied probabilities for each outcome, 24-hour trading volume, and a price chart reflecting how market sentiment has shifted since the market opened. This live data helps traders monitor conviction levels and liquidity across all possible victory margins in the runoff election.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign developments, and their own conviction about likely outcomes. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, this market aggregates ongoing bets from participants who face financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing the implied probability here to recent polling snapshots can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors polls may lag on, such as momentum shifts or turnout expectations.

On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with shares ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents depending on perceived likelihood. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in that outcome, while lower prices suggest traders view it as less probable. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.

This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the runoff election concludes and results are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final margin of victory between the two Republican candidates, measured in percentage points. Resolution hinges on official election reporting and confirmation from authoritative state or national news outlets, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.

Major catalysts include candidate debate performances, endorsements from prominent Georgia Republicans, campaign spending announcements, and shifts in early voting or absentee ballot returns. Breaking news about either candidate's record or policy positions can trigger sharp repricing. Polling releases closer to election day typically drive significant volume and volatility. Turnout indicators and last-minute voter preference shifts also influence trader positioning, as participants continuously update their probability estimates based on emerging information.