TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Georgia Governor Election Winner
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win the Georgia Governor election?

Total volume:
$1,884,208
Volume 24h:
$320,463
1,496%
Liquidity:
$345,991
2%
Open interest:
$904,747
12%

Republican party

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 14, 2027

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia

54%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 54¢ buys you 185 shares | Odds: 54% Total Payout: $185 | Net Profit: $85 Multiplier: 1.85x | ROI: 85% High Projected APY: 1,084% 91 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Republican party

Trade
54%
Yes 54¢No 47¢
1¢
N/A
$763,008
3%
16%
$536,786
3mo 1d
active
polymarket

Republican

Trade
52%
Yes 52¢No 49¢
1¢
$127,503
$81,390
2%
8%
N/A
2w 6d
active
predict

Rick Jackson (R)

Trade
51%
1%
Yes 53¢No 50.8¢
3.8¢
$37,461
$2
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
53.8%
Yes 53¢No 48.9¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 3.8¢
predict

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)

Trade
49%
1%
Yes 50.7¢No 53¢
3.7¢
$57,765
$1,437
0%
0.1%
N/A
2w 6d
active
polymarket

Democrat

Trade
49%
Yes 49¢No 52¢
1¢
$123,262
$111,407
2%
5%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Democratic party

Trade
47%
1%
Yes 47¢No 54¢
1¢
N/A
$926,963
46%
50%
$367,961
3mo 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
47.2%
Yes 48.9¢No 53¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 3.7¢
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election, specifically whether the Republican or Democratic party will win. Currently, the consensus probability favors a Republican victory at 53.0%, while the Democratic party is at 48.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, and will resolve based on the call of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification. Traders should watch the primary elections scheduled throughout 2026 to see which candidates emerge from each party.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election using the same primary resolution sources and excluding independent candidates.Primary resolution logic: Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification)

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
  • Resolution occurs when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or upon official certification if a consensus is not reached.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: In the unlikely event of a tie, the official certification process will determine the winner, and the markets will resolve accordingly.
  • Candidate Withdrawal: If a major party nominee withdraws after significant trading volume, PredictionHero will assess the situation and may invalidate the market or adjust the options.
  • Independent Candidate Impact: Independent candidates will not be considered as representing either the Democratic or Republican party, even if they have prior affiliations.
Timing: Upon the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all calling the race for the same candidate, or upon official certification of the election results.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which party's representative is inaugurated as Georgia governor following the 2026 election. A Democratic party representative's inauguration resolves the market to Yes for that outcome, as does a Republican party representative's inauguration for their respective outcome.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Georgia Governor election from multiple platforms, offering a consensus view of potential outcomes. Currently, the combined volume across these markets exceeds $1,884,208, with $320,392 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary sources for this data, allowing you to see how traders are pricing in different possibilities. The market reflects a weighted average of probabilities, providing a dynamic forecast beyond traditional polling.

Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional polls. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what people are willing to *bet* on, which can be a more accurate signal of likely outcomes. Polling averages can be susceptible to biases, such as sampling errors or social desirability bias. The current spread between the leading outcome and its closest competitor is 2.5, indicating a degree of confidence among traders. However, it’s important to remember that even well-informed predictions are not guarantees.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. These platforms have different user bases, trading fees, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket favors Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? at 51.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia at 54.0%. Differences in market design and the types of traders participating on each platform also contribute to these price discrepancies. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge, potentially narrowing the gap between the two venues.

This market resolves around Jan 14, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Georgia Governor election, as reported by relevant election authorities. This market aims to reflect the actual winner of the election, as determined by the official vote count. Traders should monitor news sources for updates as the election progresses and the results are certified.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements, shifts in economic conditions within Georgia, and significant campaign events could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the candidates' campaigns, such as scandals or policy announcements, could also lead to price movements. Polling data releases will likely cause fluctuations, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information. A substantial change in volume, reaching $320,392, would also signal increased market activity and potential shifts in expectations.