TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Penny Brown Reynolds will win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Democratic primary. On Kalshi, Reynolds holds a 72.0% probability of securing the nomination, while an alternative candidate is priced at 21.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official results of the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State primary, scheduled for May 19, 2026. Watch for candidate announcements and campaign developments leading up to the primary election date to gauge shifts in the race dynamics.
This event comprises four separate markets, each corresponding to a different candidate in the 2026 Georgia Democratic Secretary of State primary. Each market resolves to Yes if that candidate wins the primary election. Markets are eligible for accelerated determination once a consensus of media organizations projects the winner, allowing for earlier resolution before official certification.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate information beyond survey data, including fundraising totals, endorsement patterns, and historical primary performance. While polls capture voter preference at a single moment, prediction markets reflect real-money bets on actual outcomes, creating dynamic pricing that adjusts continuously. For the 2026 Georgia Democratic Secretary of State race, market participants may weight factors like candidate viability and organizational strength differently than pollsters. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is more bullish or bearish on frontrunners than survey respondents indicate.
The Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee market on Kalshi is scheduled to resolve on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution occurs after the Democratic primary election concludes and the official nominee is determined. The market outcome is based on which candidate wins the party's nomination through the primary process. Traders should monitor official Georgia election results and Democratic Party announcements to understand the final determination. The resolution date allows sufficient time for all votes to be counted and the winner to be officially certified.
Key catalysts for price movement include candidate debate performances, major endorsements from state Democratic leaders, campaign finance disclosures showing fundraising strength, and polling releases tracking primary voter preferences. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries could dramatically shift odds. Media coverage of candidate records, scandals, or policy positions may influence trader sentiment. Turnout models and early voting data closer to the primary will provide concrete signals about voter engagement. Regional campaign events, grassroots organizing announcements, and shifts in national Democratic Party focus on Georgia races could all trigger significant repricing on Kalshi.