TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks a nationwide survey measuring voter preference between major political parties at a specific future date. It examines whether the difference in support for the two parties falls within a narrow range or exceeds a key threshold.
This event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Sep 28, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the margin is below 7.9%, exactly 7.9% through exactly 8.5%, or above 8.5%. The outcome depends solely on the precise numerical value of the margin at the specified time, with multiple narrow bands and a final threshold all triggering a Yes resolution.