TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a hypothetical congressional ballot survey conducted on a specific date. It measures the difference in voter preference between two major political parties at a precise moment, reflecting potential shifts in public opinion ahead of an election cycle.
The event resolves based on the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) measured at exactly 1:05 PM ET on Sep 26, 2026. If the margin is below 8.0%, exactly 8.0% through 8.6%, or above 8.6%, the market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by the numerical value of the margin at the specified time, with no other conditions or adjustments applying.