TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?
polymarket

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

Volume:
$46,756

0%–1.5%

 - Polymarket

0%–1.5% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 24, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

0%–1.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
13¢
N/A
$21,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.5%–3%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-3%– -1.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-1.5%–0%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<-3%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3%+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether General Mills will report organic net sales growth between 0% and 1.5% for its fourth fiscal quarter of 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome holds 50.0% probability, while growth between 1.5% and 3% stands at 23.5%. Resolution will be determined by General Mills' official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. Watch for the company's Q4 2026 earnings announcement by June 24, 2026, which will provide the official organic net sales growth figure needed to settle this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth prediction market on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of each outcome, including the leading scenario, along with 24-hour volume of $769 and total group volume of $46,756. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's evolving assessment of whether General Mills will achieve specific organic net sales growth targets in Q4. Price history and volume trends help traders monitor sentiment shifts and liquidity conditions.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations and often diverge from consensus analyst forecasts. While Wall Street analysts typically issue earnings estimates based on historical trends and company guidance, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment from a diverse set of participants with financial incentives to be accurate. For General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth, comparing market-implied probabilities to published analyst consensus can reveal whether traders expect better or worse performance than the Street's baseline. These differences highlight areas where market participants may have distinct information or risk assessments.

The General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth market resolves on Jun 24, 2026. Resolution depends on General Mills' official Q4 earnings announcement and the company's reported organic net sales growth figure for that quarter. The outcome is determined by comparing actual reported growth to the predefined outcome brackets available in the market. Once General Mills releases audited Q4 results, the market settles based on which bracket the reported organic net sales growth falls into, and traders holding winning outcome shares receive their payouts.

Key catalysts include General Mills' quarterly earnings reports leading up to Q4, consumer spending trends in packaged foods, commodity price movements affecting input costs, and management commentary on pricing power and volume. Competitor earnings and industry-wide organic growth trends provide context for General Mills' relative performance. Macroeconomic data on consumer confidence and retail sales can shift expectations for branded food demand. Any management guidance revisions, product recalls, or significant promotional activity will influence trader expectations. Finally, broader market sentiment about inflation and consumer discretionary spending may impact predictions as the resolution date approaches.