FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on August 3? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on August 3?
Start: 2026-07-31T12:00:24.000Z
End: 2026-08-03T20:00:00.000Z

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for FTSE 100 (UKX) on Monday, August 3, 2026 is higher than the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for UKX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for FTSE 100 (UKX) on Monday, August 3, 2026 is lower than the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for UKX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If UKX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by FTSE 100 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for FTSE 100 (UKX) on Monday, August 3, 2026 is higher than the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for UKX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for FTSE 100 (UKX) on Monday, August 3, 2026 is lower than the official FTSE 100 Index closing price for UKX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If UKX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by FTSE 100 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the FTSE 100 direction market, showing how traders view the likelihood of movement by Aug 3, 2026. It displays current probabilities and recent trading trends, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment and engagement through $45 in volume.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will reflect the actual performance of the underlying index against the defined direction, closing all positions based on that verified movement.

Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 3, 2026. Economic indicators like UK GDP growth, employment data, or inflation figures often influence index movements. Corporate earnings reports from major FTSE 100 constituents, geopolitical developments, and shifts in monetary policy from the Bank of England can also cause rapid re-pricing. Additionally, broader market sentiment driven by global risk appetite or commodity price swings may affect trader positioning and shift the odds in either direction as resolution approaches.

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