TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
⌛Ending Soon
limitless

Foldable iPhone Announced Price?

Volume:
$42

$2,000+

 - Limitless

$2,000+ - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 4:43 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

$2,000+

View
0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 10h 15m
No
limitless

$2,100+

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 10h 15m
No
limitless

$2,300+

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 10h 15m
No
limitless

$1,800+

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 10h 15m
Yes
limitless

$2,200+

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 10h 15m
No
limitless

$2,400+

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 10h 15m
No
limitless

$2,600+

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 10h 15m
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the foldable iPhone’s price, differing from initial analyst estimates. While some industry analysts predicted a starting price around $1500, this market suggests a wider distribution of possibilities, with significant probability assigned to both higher and lower price points. This divergence highlights the market’s ability to incorporate a broader spectrum of information and perspectives than traditional polls or expert opinions. The collective wisdom of traders in this market provides a dynamic forecast, constantly adjusting to new information and insights.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for the foldable iPhone. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price range being correct. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own research, news updates, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The more a particular price range is traded, the more likely the market believes that price point is to be the actual launch price.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome determined by the officially announced price of the first foldable iPhone released by Apple. The resolution will be verified against credible public reporting from Apple’s official announcements and reputable technology news sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how their predictions aligned with the actual price. This provides a clear and transparent resolution process, ensuring fairness and accuracy in determining the market’s results.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Leaks regarding Apple's supply chain costs, particularly for the foldable display technology, would be a major catalyst. Any official statements from Apple executives hinting at pricing strategy would also move the market. Unexpected economic conditions or shifts in the smartphone market could also influence expectations. Furthermore, the release of competing foldable phones and their pricing could affect how traders value the foldable iPhone, potentially shifting probabilities across different price ranges in this market.