TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how much support a specific candidate receives in a party primary election. It measures whether the candidate achieves various vote share thresholds based on final, official results. The outcome depends solely on the certified percentage of votes the candidate earns.
These markets resolve based on the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Oliver Larkin in the 2026 FL-25 Democratic primary. Each market corresponds to a specific vote share threshold (10%, 15%, 20%, etc.), and resolves to Yes if Larkin's certified vote percentage falls within or exceeds that threshold, up to 100%. The vote percentage is calculated by dividing the total valid votes received by Larkin by the total number of valid votes cast in the election, multiplied by 100 and rounded as specified. Only certified or official results count; preliminary results, write-in votes (if certified), and invalid/spoiled/rejected ballots are treated according to standard electoral rules. If multiple voting rounds occur (such as in ranked-choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if unspecified. Markets resolve to No if the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration date, or if no certified results are available by the expiration date. Recounts that adjust the certified percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. All markets share these core resolution mechanics, differing only in their respective vote share thresholds.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote percentage will be compared against the market’s settled value, determining payouts for traders based on how closely the actual result matches their positions. Timing aligns with official certification of the primary election results.