TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 9:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the vote share achieved by Lois Frankel in the Florida 23rd district Democratic primary. It examines various thresholds of voter support she receives in the election, reflecting her performance relative to all valid votes cast.
The event determines whether Lois Frankel achieved specified vote percentage thresholds in the FL-23 Democratic primary. Each market corresponds to a different minimum percentage requirement, ranging from 45% to 85% of the total valid votes. Resolution depends solely on certified, official election results. The vote percentage is calculated by dividing Frankel's total votes by the total number of valid votes cast, multiplying by 100, and rounding to the specified decimal precision. Write-in votes are counted if present in certified results, while invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and denominator. If the election involves multiple voting rounds (such as ranked-choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if unspecified. Markets resolve to No if the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration date, or if certified results are unavailable by the expiration. Recounts that alter the certified percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. All markets share these consistent calculation and resolution methodologies.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the vote percentage is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official election results from state authorities and reputable news outlets will determine the final settlement, aligning market payouts with the actual vote share recorded in the FL-23 Democratic primary.
Key events such as candidate debates, endorsements, fundraising announcements, and breaking news about scandals or policy positions can shift this market. Polling updates closer to Aug 18, 2027 often trigger rapid price changes, as do voter registration numbers and turnout forecasts. Any development that alters the perceived electability of candidates is likely to influence trader behavior and move odds before settlement.