TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Elections
FL-22 Republican primary: Belinda Keiser vote percent
kalshi

FL-22 Republican primary: Belinda Keiser vote percent

Volume:
$34,513

At least 5%

 - Kalshi

At least 5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 9:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,263
N/A
N/A
$6,438
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 15%

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,078
N/A
N/A
$5,120
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 10%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,482
N/A
N/A
$3,254
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 40%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,858
N/A
N/A
$3,661
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 20%

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,920
N/A
N/A
$2,888
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 25%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,431
N/A
N/A
$2,794
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 35%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,780
N/A
N/A
$2,640
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 30%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,701
N/A
N/A
$2,701
10mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market assesses Belinda Keiser's performance in the FL-22 Republican primary by tracking the percentage of votes she receives against all valid votes cast. The outcome depends on whether her vote share meets or exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting her electoral support level.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of valid votes Belinda Keiser receives in the FL-22 Republican primary, calculated as (votes for Keiser ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a distinct threshold (5%, 10%, 15%, etc.), and if her certified vote percentage meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution relies solely on official, certified results—preliminary counts, write-in votes (if certified), and recounts (if occurring before expiration) are considered. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and denominator. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. For elections involving multiple rounds (e.g., ranked-choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if unspecified.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the FL-22 Republican primary vote share market dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for Belinda Keiser’s vote share in the upcoming primary. It also displays current 24-hour volume of $0 and total volume of $34,513. This view focuses exclusively on how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various vote share outcomes as the election approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final percentage of votes Belinda Keiser receives in the FL-22 Republican primary will settle all contracts, aligning market results with the actual election outcome as reported by authoritative sources.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including debate performance, endorsements from influential figures, changes in campaign spending, and emerging scandals or controversies. Additionally, updates from reliable polling firms, voter registration trends, and media coverage highlighting key issues may also influence trader sentiment and drive price movements as the primary date approaches.