TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses Belinda Keiser's performance in the FL-22 Republican primary by tracking the percentage of votes she receives against all valid votes cast. The outcome depends on whether her vote share meets or exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting her electoral support level.
All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of valid votes Belinda Keiser receives in the FL-22 Republican primary, calculated as (votes for Keiser ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a distinct threshold (5%, 10%, 15%, etc.), and if her certified vote percentage meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution relies solely on official, certified results—preliminary counts, write-in votes (if certified), and recounts (if occurring before expiration) are considered. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and denominator. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. For elections involving multiple rounds (e.g., ranked-choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if unspecified.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final percentage of votes Belinda Keiser receives in the FL-22 Republican primary will settle all contracts, aligning market results with the actual election outcome as reported by authoritative sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including debate performance, endorsements from influential figures, changes in campaign spending, and emerging scandals or controversies. Additionally, updates from reliable polling firms, voter registration trends, and media coverage highlighting key issues may also influence trader sentiment and drive price movements as the primary date approaches.