TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the vote share achieved by a specific candidate in a state congressional primary election. It reflects the proportion of valid ballots cast for the candidate among all participating voters in that election. Outcomes depend solely on officially certified results from the electoral authority.
All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of votes received by Debbie Wasserman Schultz in the FL-20 Democratic primary, calculated as (votes for Schultz ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a different threshold range (e.g., 25%–100%, 30%–100%, etc.), and resolves to Yes only if the certified percentage falls within that specific range. The calculation excludes invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots and includes write-in votes if certified. Resolution relies exclusively on official, certified results—preliminary counts, recounts altering outcomes post-expiration, or cancelled/postponed elections will not affect resolution. If no certified results are available by market expiration, all markets resolve to No.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official vote tallies are verified against credible public sources. The final percentage reported by authoritative election results will determine the winning outcome. Timing depends on when official results are certified post-election, aligning with standard election reporting schedules.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution, including new polling data, candidate debates, endorsements, controversies, or shifts in voter registration. Economic announcements, local issues gaining attention, or campaign missteps can also cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will react to any development that changes perceptions about voter sentiment or candidate viability in the FL-20 district.