TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
The Florida 19th district Republican primary will determine which candidate secures the party's nomination for the upcoming congressional election. Jim Schwartzel, a Republican candidate, is vying for support among voters in this district, with his performance measured by the percentage of votes he receives compared to all valid votes cast.
Multiple markets assess whether Jim Schwartzel achieves specific vote percentage thresholds in the FL-19 Republican primary. Each market defines a minimum percentage (from 15% to 45%) that Schwartzel must reach or exceed for a 'Yes' outcome. The vote percentage is calculated from certified results, using total valid votes cast, and excludes invalid or rejected ballots. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available, all markets resolve to 'No'. Recounts that occur before expiration use the most recent certified percentage. Write-in votes are included if present in certified results. For elections with multiple voting rounds (e.g., ranked-choice), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if unspecified.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote percentage will be compared against reported results from official election authorities, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with public records.
Events such as candidate debates, endorsements, fundraising announcements, and local issues can shift this market as they change perceptions of Jim Schwartzel’s viability. Media coverage, polling releases, and even voter registration trends may influence trader sentiment. As Aug 18, 2027 approaches, any significant developments in the campaign or broader political climate are likely to drive volatility and adjust odds in this market.