TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent
kalshi

What will be Catalina Lauf's vote percent in the FL-19 Republican primary?

Volume:
$41,396

At least 30%

 - Kalshi

At least 30% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 30%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,392
N/A
N/A
$4,226
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 45%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,442
N/A
N/A
$3,645
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 25%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,684
N/A
N/A
$5,759
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 50%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,463
N/A
N/A
$5,448
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 35%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,299
N/A
N/A
$2,966
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 40%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,042
N/A
N/A
$3,287
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 55%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,074
N/A
N/A
$1,074
10mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Catalina Lauf is another Republican candidate competing in the Florida 19th district primary, seeking to gain substantial voter support. The outcome hinges on whether her vote share meets or exceeds various thresholds, reflecting her ability to attract a significant portion of the party's base in this key congressional race.

Kalshi

Multiple markets evaluate whether Catalina Lauf achieves specific vote percentage thresholds (from 25% to 55%) in the FL-19 Republican primary. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Lauf's certified vote percentage meets or exceeds the threshold for each respective market. The percentage is derived from total valid votes cast, excluding invalid or rejected ballots, and is based on official certified results. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or lacks certified results by expiration, all markets resolve to 'No'. Recounts adjusting the percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. Write-in votes are counted if they appear in certified results. For elections with multiple rounds (e.g., ranked-choice), the specified round—or the first round if unspecified—is used for calculation.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the FL-19 Republican primary vote percent market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing Catalina Lauf's expected share of the vote. The interface updates in real time, reflecting market sentiment and trading activity as the primary approaches. You can see the top outcome's probability, recent price movements, and volume of $0 to gauge interest. This single-venue view isolates Kalshi's unique market dynamics without cross-platform aggregation.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks based on their expectations for Catalina Lauf’s vote percentage. The current top trade reflects the collective wisdom of Kalshi traders, adjusting dynamically to new information and shifting sentiment in the days leading up to the primary.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official vote count is verified against credible public sources. The final percentage reported by authoritative election results determines the settlement, bringing finality to trader positions based on the actual election outcome.