TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 3:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the primary results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote tally from official election authorities determines the winner, and the market settles accordingly. Timing depends on when official results are announced and certified, typically shortly after voting concludes.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including televised debates, candidate endorsements, fundraising announcements, and breaking news about scandals or policy positions. Unexpected events such as polling surges or withdrawals from the race can also dramatically alter trader sentiment. As the primary date approaches, any development that influences voter perception or campaign viability is likely to impact market odds.