TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 8:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Sydney Gruters in the FL-16 Republican primary by measuring the percentage of votes they receive against the total valid votes cast. The outcome depends on whether this percentage meets or exceeds specific thresholds ranging from 50% to 90%.
The event determines if Sydney Gruters achieves a specified vote percentage threshold in the FL-16 Republican primary. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, from 50% to 90%, and resolves to Yes if the certified results show Gruters' vote share meets or exceeds that threshold. The percentage is calculated by dividing the total valid votes Gruters received by the total valid votes cast, multiplied by 100 and rounded as specified. Only certified or official results are considered; preliminary results, invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by the expiration date, the market resolves to No. Recounts that adjust the certified percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. Multiple voting rounds, such as ranked-choice voting, base the percentage on the specified round or the first round if unspecified.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied chance reflecting the probability of Sydney Gruters achieving the specified vote share threshold. The market price adjusts dynamically based on new information flows, campaign developments, and overall trader sentiment leading up to Aug 18, 2027.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final percentage will be calculated from certified election results, and the market will settle based on that verified figure.