TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory
polymarket

FL-07 Republican Primary Margin of Victory

Volume:
$3,036

Elijah 10–15%

 - Polymarket

Elijah 10–15% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 1:20 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Elijah 10–15%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mills 15–20%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mills 25%+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mills 10–15%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mills <5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mills 20–25%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elijah 15–20%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mills 5–10%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elijah 5–10%

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elijah 20–25%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elijah 25%+

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elijah <5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07). For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Polymarket

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07). For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official primary results are verified against credible public sources. The final vote count — specifically the margin of victory for the Republican nominee — will settle all positions. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly reported numbers from the election authorities.

Several key events could shift this market before it settles. Upcoming polls, especially those focused on the FL-07 district, will heavily influence trader sentiment. Major endorsements, debates, or controversies involving the candidates can also cause rapid price swings. Additionally, any changes in voter registration numbers or turnout forecasts may affect expectations for the final margin of victory.