TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

Who will win the FL-07 Democratic Primary election?

Volume:
$10,565

Bale Dalton

 - Polymarket

Bale Dalton - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 3:33 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bale Dalton

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marialana Kinter

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alan Grayson

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the current probability reflects trader sentiment about the FL-07 Democratic primary race. While polls offer another perspective, this market’s pricing can diverge due to real-time trading dynamics and bettor insights that aren’t captured in traditional surveys. Traders may price in factors like candidate momentum, fundraising strength, or debate performance that polls often miss. As Aug 18, 2026 approaches, this market could either align more closely with polling averages or highlight meaningful differences that showcase the unique predictive power of decentralized betting markets.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the primary election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by official vote tallies, and the market will settle accordingly. Timing depends on when final, certified results are announced, typically shortly after polls close and votes are counted.

Key events that could shift this market include debate performances, candidate endorsements, fundraising announcements, and breaking news on policy positions or controversies. Polling updates closer to Aug 18, 2026 often drive rapid price swings, as do any legal challenges or procedural changes affecting the primary process. Trader sentiment may also react to broader political trends or economic indicators influencing voter preferences.