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FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent
kalshi

What will Dan Bilzerian’s vote percent be in the FL-06 Republican primary?

Volume:
$235,547

At least 15%

 - Kalshi

At least 15% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:55 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 15%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,550
N/A
N/A
$11,406
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,725
N/A
N/A
$6,912
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 2.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,056
N/A
N/A
$9,421
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 17.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,067
N/A
N/A
$9,061
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 7.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,507
N/A
N/A
$7,109
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,286
N/A
N/A
$8,029
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 12.5%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,481
N/A
N/A
$6,591
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,052
N/A
N/A
$1,971
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,514
N/A
N/A
$2,529
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 1%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,680
N/A
N/A
$1,903
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 20%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,837
N/A
N/A
$15,389
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 30%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,889
N/A
N/A
$7,369
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 35%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,003
N/A
N/A
$11,369
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 25%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,196
N/A
N/A
$13,101
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 40%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,604
N/A
N/A
$4,371
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 45%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,099
N/A
N/A
$3,769
10mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market tracks how much support Dan Bilzerian garners in the Florida 6th District Republican primary. The outcome depends on the share of valid votes he receives compared to specific thresholds. Results are determined only after official certification of the election.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of valid votes Dan Bilzerian receives in the FL-06 Republican primary, calculated as (votes for Bilzerian ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a different threshold (5%, 10%, 15%, etc.), and resolves to Yes only if Bilzerian’s certified vote share meets or exceeds that threshold. Certification must occur before market expiration; if the election is canceled, postponed beyond expiration, or no certified results are available, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that adjust the certified percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. Write-in votes are counted if certified, while invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. For elections with multiple rounds (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if unspecified.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the FL-06 Republican primary vote share market. It shows how traders price Dan Bilzerian's expected vote percentage in the upcoming primary. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity, with current volume at $0. This view lets users monitor fluctuations and compare trends as the election approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final vote tallies from official election results will determine which vote share range is correct. Until that point, any authoritative updates — whether from early vote counts, certified results, or reputable news sources — may influence how traders assess the likely outcome.