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FL-06 Republican primary: Aaron Baker vote percent
kalshi

What will Aaron Baker's vote percent be in FL-06 Republican primary?

Volume:
$26,355

At least 3%

 - Kalshi

At least 3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:54 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 3%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,486
N/A
N/A
$6,886
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 12%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,647
N/A
N/A
$3,544
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,908
N/A
N/A
$2,791
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,834
N/A
N/A
$2,834
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 18%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,050
N/A
N/A
$2,825
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 21%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,900
N/A
N/A
$2,700
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 24%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,710
N/A
N/A
$2,705
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 15%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
$794
10mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market tracks the performance of Aaron Baker in the Republican primary for Florida's 6th congressional district. It focuses on whether his share of the vote meets or exceeds various percentage thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified election results.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the certified percentage of votes Aaron Baker receives in the FL-06 Republican primary, compared against specific thresholds ranging from 3% to 24%. The vote percentage is calculated by dividing the total valid votes Baker receives by the total number of valid votes cast, then multiplying by 100 and rounding to the specified decimal places. Only certified or official results are considered; preliminary results, write-in votes (if included in certified results), and invalid/spoiled ballots are accounted for as specified. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that adjust the certified percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. Each market has a unique threshold, and if Baker's vote share meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the FL-06 Republican primary vote share market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It shows how traders value Aaron Baker’s expected vote percentage in this Republican primary race, updated continuously as new bets are placed. The display includes current top-outcome probabilities and trading activity, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment leading up to the election.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official vote count is verified against credible public sources. The final percentage reported by authoritative election results determines the settlement, aligning with the defined market rules on Kalshi.

Events such as debates, endorsements, advertising spend, or emerging scandals can shift this market as traders reassess Aaron Baker’s chances. Polling updates, changes in voter registration numbers, and media coverage also influence expectations. Any significant development that alters the perceived competitiveness of the race may cause rapid price movements, especially with Aug 18, 2027 approaching.