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FL-02 Republican primary: Austin Rogers vote percent
kalshi

What is Austin Rogers' vote percent in the FL-02 Republican primary?

Volume:
$26,049

At least 20%

 - Kalshi

At least 20% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:52 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 20%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,100
N/A
N/A
$3,975
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 25%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,246
N/A
N/A
$3,047
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 30%

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,689
N/A
N/A
$964
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 35%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,780
N/A
N/A
$5,836
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 40%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,130
N/A
N/A
$5,930
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 45%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,905
N/A
N/A
$2,905
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 50%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
10mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks whether a specific candidate achieves various vote percentage thresholds in a party primary election. The outcome depends on the final certified results, reflecting the proportion of valid votes the candidate receives against all valid votes cast.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of votes Austin Rogers receives in the FL-02 Republican primary, calculated as (votes for Rogers ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a different threshold (20%, 25%, 30%, 35%, 40%, 45%, or 50%) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. The percentage uses official, certified results only—preliminary figures, write-in votes (if certified), and invalid/spoiled ballots are handled as specified. If the election is canceled, postponed past the market expiration, or lacks certified results by then, all markets resolve 'No.' Recounts that adjust the certified percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. Multiple voting rounds (e.g., ranked choice) use the specified round or the first round if unspecified. All markets share these resolution principles, differing only in their threshold requirements.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the FL-02 Rogers vote share market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the share of votes Austin Rogers is expected to receive in the Republican primary. It displays current trading activity, including total volume of $26,049 and 24-hour volume of $195. This visual representation helps traders monitor market sentiment and volatility as the election approaches, offering a snapshot of how the market values Rogers’s chances against other candidates in this key primary race.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the vote percentage is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official election tallies, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution for all participants. Timing aligns with the certification of primary election results, after all votes are counted and any recounts concluded.

Several signals or events could shift odds in this market before Aug 18, 2027. Key developments include debate performances, endorsements from influential figures, major campaign endorsements, fundraising disclosures, and local media coverage that swings voter sentiment. Unexpected events such as gaffes, policy missteps, or endorsements from high-profile figures could also cause rapid price adjustments. As primary voting nears, early voting data and last-minute polling surges may further influence trader sentiment and market dynamics.