TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

Who will win the FL-02 Democratic Primary election?

Volume:
$77,813

Amanda Green

 - Polymarket

Amanda Green - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 12:54 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Amanda Green

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yen Bailey

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nic Zateslo

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brice Barnes

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the FL-02 Democratic primary race tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume. It shows how traders on Polymarket are betting on who will win this contest, reflecting their collective expectations about voter preferences and campaign momentum. The interface updates continuously to display the latest market movements and liquidity levels, giving users insight into where betting interest is concentrated as the primary approaches.

This market often moves in tandem with public polling, but can diverge when traders incorporate factors like fundraising strength, debate performance, or local endorsements. While polls give a snapshot of voter intent, this market adds a layer of trader speculation that may price in late-breaking news or strategic dynamics not yet reflected in surveys.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the primary election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official vote tallies, and this market settles accordingly — no additional interpretation or external criteria are needed beyond the publicly recorded results.

Poll releases, candidate debate performance, fundraising announcements, and local endorsements can all shift this market as they change perceptions of viability and voter appeal. Media coverage of gaffes or policy missteps may also sway traders. As Aug 18, 2026 approaches, voting early indicators and turnout forecasts often drive sharp price movements, especially if polls tighten or unexpected developments alter the race dynamics.