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First Solar megawatts sold in Q2
kalshi

What will be the volume of solar modules First Solar sells in Q2?

Volume:
$10,434

Above 3600 MW

 - Kalshi

Above 3600 MW - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 4:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3600 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,465
N/A
N/A
$1,335
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3700 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,939
N/A
N/A
$1,665
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3500 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,325
N/A
N/A
$481
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3400 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$847
N/A
N/A
$237
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3300 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3800 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$641
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Above 4000 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$88
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Above 3900 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$26
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Above 3000 mw

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3100 mw

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Above 3200 mw

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

First Solar Inc. is a major manufacturer of photovoltaic solar modules. These markets track the volume of solar modules the company sells during the second quarter of 2026, measured in megawatts (MW) of capacity.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on First Solar Inc.'s official reported module volume sold during Q2 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific megawatt threshold, with resolution to Yes occurring if the company's reported Q2 2026 module sales exceed that threshold. The thresholds range from 3300 MW to 4000 MW in 100 MW increments. Resolution will be determined by First Solar's quarterly earnings report or official company disclosure of Q2 2026 module volume sold. In the event of conflicting reports, the most recent official company statement will be used as the authoritative source.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the First Solar Q2 sales market, along with 24-hour volume of $2,711. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the potential megawatt sales First Solar will report for the second quarter, reflecting market expectations and betting activity as the quarter progresses.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market by placing bets on possible megawatt sales figures. The current implied probability reflects the weighted average of all open contracts, with price movements driven by new sales announcements, industry news, and overall demand trends leading up to Nov 27, 2026.

This market resolves around Nov 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official company announcements or trusted industry data sources that confirm the exact megawatt figures sold in Q2.

Several signals could shift expectations in this market before it resolves. Key catalysts include First Solar’s official sales releases, industry analyst reports, government policy updates affecting solar demand, and broader energy-market trends. Any surprise contract awards or cancellations will also influence trader sentiment and pricing on Kalshi as the quarter unfolds toward Nov 27, 2026.