TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 9:42 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ferrari N.V. will report total car shipments exceeding 3,300 units during the second quarter of 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of Ferrari shipping above 3,300 vehicles in Q2 2026 stands at 92.0%, based on the company's resolution of its official shipment figures. The resolution source is Ferrari N.V.'s direct reporting of total quarterly shipments. Watch for Ferrari's earnings announcement on or around August 29, 2026, when the company will disclose its Q2 2026 shipment numbers.
Resolution depends on the total car shipments figure that Ferrari N.V. officially reports for Q2 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to whether reported shipments exceed a specific threshold, ranging from above 3,300 to above 3,550 vehicles. The official company earnings report or investor disclosure for Q2 2026 will serve as the authoritative source for this metric.
The Ferrari total shipments in Q2 market resolves on Aug 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by Ferrari N.V.'s official Q2 2026 earnings report or investor communications, which will disclose the total number of vehicles shipped during that quarter. The contract settles based on whether the reported figure exceeds 3,400 units. Traders should monitor Ferrari's quarterly earnings calendar and any material updates to production or delivery guidance that may be released before the end date.
Key catalysts for Ferrari Q2 shipments include supply-chain disruptions affecting component availability, changes in luxury automotive demand, currency fluctuations impacting international orders, and any production facility incidents or labor actions. Earnings calls and management guidance updates will signal confidence in hitting delivery targets. Competitor performance and broader luxury-goods sentiment can shift buyer interest. Regulatory changes or tariff announcements affecting imported vehicles may influence order timing. Additionally, Ferrari's order book health, average selling price trends, and regional sales mix will provide early signals about whether the company is tracking toward or away from the 3,400-unit threshold for Q2.