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FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4
kalshi

FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4

Volume:
$71,181

Above 17 million

 - Kalshi

Above 17 million - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 23, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 4:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 17 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,165
N/A
N/A
$1,328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.8 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,583
N/A
N/A
$1,160
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.4 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,132
N/A
N/A
$759
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.2 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
$624
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.6 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
$397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 17.2 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,450
N/A
N/A
$14,405
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.4 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,800
N/A
N/A
$13,183
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.6 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,856
N/A
N/A
$5,807
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 18 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,841
N/A
N/A
$4,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.8 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,715
N/A
N/A
$3,504
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether FedEx Corporation will report average daily package volume exceeding 16 million units during the fourth quarter of 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by FedEx's official Q4 2026 earnings report, which will disclose the company's average daily package volume figures. Watch for FedEx's earnings announcement expected around July 23, 2026, when the company typically reports quarterly results and provides detailed logistics metrics.

Kalshi

If FedEx Corporation reports Above 16000000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 16200000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 16399999.999999998 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 16600000.000000002 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 16800000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 17000000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 17200000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 17400000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 17600000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 17800000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FedEx Corporation reports Above 18000000.0 avg daily package volume in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether FedEx Corporation will report above 17.4 million average daily packages in Q4 2026. The display shows the current chance percentage, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume in USD. This metric helps traders monitor market sentiment around FedEx's operational capacity and holiday-season package handling during the critical fourth quarter. Total group volume across this event stands at $71,181, with $29,039 traded in the last 24 hours.

The FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4 market resolves on Jul 23, 2026. Resolution is determined by FedEx Corporation's official Q4 2026 earnings report and SEC filings, which will disclose the company's average daily package volume for that quarter. The outcome hinges on whether the reported figure exceeds or falls short of the 17.4 million package threshold. Traders should monitor FedEx's quarterly earnings announcements and operational metrics leading up to resolution to track whether the company is on pace to hit or miss this benchmark.

Key catalysts include FedEx's quarterly earnings reports and guidance updates, which may reveal capacity constraints or demand strength. E-commerce trends and holiday shopping forecasts directly influence package volume expectations. Changes in FedEx's pricing strategy, service offerings, or competitive positioning versus UPS and Amazon Logistics can shift market share and volumes. Macroeconomic data—consumer spending, unemployment, and retail sales—will signal overall shipping demand. Operational announcements, such as facility expansions or automation investments, may indicate management confidence in handling higher volumes. Supply chain disruptions or labor developments could also materially impact Q4 package handling capacity.