TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Economics
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
kalshi

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Volume:
$2,785,518

Above 3.75%

 - Kalshi

Above 3.75% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.75%

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,080,581
N/A
N/A
$637,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.50%

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$368,519
N/A
N/A
$190,728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.75%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,074
N/A
N/A
$19,489
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.25%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,024
N/A
N/A
$7,687
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.00%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,715
N/A
N/A
$6,606
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.00%

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$638,493
N/A
N/A
$557,890
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.75%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398,152
N/A
N/A
$208,344
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.50%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160,916
N/A
N/A
$85,515
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.25%

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,468
N/A
N/A
$83,382
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.00%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,968
N/A
N/A
$5,874
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.25%

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
$511
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

The Federal Reserve's target federal funds rate upper bound remains above a specified threshold following its September 2026 meeting.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website following the September 16, 2026 meeting. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the upper bound exceeds its specified threshold (2.75%, 3.00%, 3.25%, 3.50%, 3.75%, 4.00%, 4.25%, 4.50%, 4.75%, or 5.25%). The market expires at the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of the Federal Reserve's statement for the September 16, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting, whichever comes first.