TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
The Fear & Greed Index measures market sentiment by aggregating data points like stock volatility, trading volume, and put-call ratios. On any given day, it categorizes investor mood into five distinct levels ranging from Extreme Fear to Extreme Greed. This event tracks whether a specific level will be recorded after a set market timestamp on a future date.
This event resolves based on the first Fear & Greed Index value update occurring after 4:00 PM ET on September 4, 2026. If the update classifies sentiment as any of the five defined levels—Extreme Fear, Fear, Neutral, Greed, or Extreme Greed—the market resolves to Yes. In cases where no update is published within one week of the specified timestamp, the last available index value before that date will determine the outcome. The structure ensures resolution relies solely on the first post-timeSTAMP measurement, with a fallback mechanism for data gaps.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Fear & Greed Index value for September 4, 2026, will be compared against the market’s defined levels, and the matching outcome will be declared based on authoritative, publicly available data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major economic announcements, stock market volatility, geopolitical developments, or shifts in investor sentiment following high-profile earnings reports. Central bank decisions, sudden changes in commodity prices, or surprise policy shifts may also influence trader expectations and move odds. As Sep 11, 2026 approaches, any data suggesting stronger or weaker market fear or greed will likely cause price adjustments.