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Science and Technology
FAO Food Price Index in August
kalshi

What will the FAO Food Price Index be in August?

Volume:
$4,937

Above 133.0

 - Kalshi

Above 133.0 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 2:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 133.0

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,853
N/A
N/A
$1,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 132.0

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,732
N/A
N/A
$1,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 131.0

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
$510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 129.0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 130.0

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
$198
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 127.0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 128.0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 136.0

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 134.0

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 135.0

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

The FAO Food Price Index measures global prices for a basket of food commodities, offering insight into agricultural market trends and food security. Increases in the index can stem from climate events, supply chain disruptions, or shifts in demand, influencing food prices worldwide.

Kalshi

This event evaluates multiple thresholds for the FAO Food Price Index in August 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the headline index, released on September 4, 2026, exceeds its designated level, from above 127.0 to above 136.0. Only the first reported value counts; later revisions are ignored. All markets share the same underlying index and observation date, ensuring consistency across thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the FAO Food Price Index market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,907. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for the FAO Food Price Index market, offering a visual representation of market sentiment and activity over time.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, incorporating both public sentiment and trader positioning. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on supply-demand models, this market offers a real-time, crowd-sourced probability that can diverge based on emerging trade flows, weather events, or policy rumors.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final value will be determined by the officially published FAO Food Price Index for the specified month, providing a clear and objective basis for settlement.

Key signals that could shift this market include major weather events affecting crop yields, unexpected changes in global commodity trade policies, shifts in supply chain dynamics, and reports from major food-exporting nations. Each of these factors can influence trader expectations and thereby move the odds in either direction before resolution.