TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 4:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Exxon Mobil (Pyth XOM/USD) on June 18, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Exxon Mobil (Pyth XOM/USD) on June 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Exxon Mobil (Pyth XOM/USD) captured on June 11, 2026, was $146.56966. Resolution source: Pyth XOM/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Exxon Mobil (XOM) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 18, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which XOM is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting XOM during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Exxon Mobil (Pyth XOM/USD) on June 18, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Exxon Mobil (Pyth XOM/USD) on June 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Exxon Mobil (Pyth XOM/USD) captured on June 11, 2026, was $146.56966. Resolution source: Pyth XOM/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Exxon Mobil (XOM) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 18, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which XOM is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting XOM during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge meaningfully from consensus analyst price targets or equity research reports. While Wall Street analysts typically issue longer-term ratings and 12-month price objectives, this market aggregates shorter-term directional sentiment into a weekly binary outcome. Traders pricing this market incorporate intraday volatility, technical levels, and event-driven catalysts that formal equity research may not emphasize, making prediction odds a complementary signal to traditional analyst views rather than a direct substitute.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome—XOM Up or XOM Down. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur, with the two sides always summing to 100 percent. As traders place orders, the price adjusts dynamically based on order flow and liquidity depth, ensuring that the odds you see represent the current consensus valuation of XOM's weekly directional move.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by whether XOM's closing price for the week is higher or lower than its opening price. The result is verified against credible public sources of stock price data to ensure accuracy and finality. Once the weekly close is confirmed, the market settles automatically, and traders' positions are credited or debited according to the final outcome.
Key catalysts for this market include XOM earnings releases, changes in crude oil and natural gas prices, OPEC production announcements, geopolitical developments affecting energy supply, U.S. macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve policy signals, and broader equity market selloffs or rallies. Regulatory news—such as climate policy shifts or antitrust scrutiny—can also shift trader positioning. Intraday technical levels and options expiration activity may create volatility spikes, while analyst upgrades or downgrades can trigger rapid repricing as new information reaches the market.