TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF will close higher or lower on May 28, 2026 compared to the previous trading day's close. On Polymarket, the probability that EWY closes up on that date stands at 60.0%, according to pricing data from Pyth Network. Resolution will be determined by comparing the official closing price on May 28, 2026 to the most recent prior trading day's close, with the outcome settled based on Pyth Network data. Watch for macroeconomic announcements or geopolitical developments affecting South Korean markets in the days leading up to May 28, 2026.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by EWY's closing price movement on May 28. The resolution captures whether the security closes higher or lower than its opening price on that date. Once the market closes, traders' positions are settled according to the actual outcome. Until resolution, the market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust positions or hedge based on evolving market conditions and new information. The binary structure ensures a clear, unambiguous outcome tied directly to observable market data.
EWY, which tracks emerging-market equities, is sensitive to macroeconomic data, central bank policy shifts, geopolitical developments, and currency movements. Key catalysts include U.S. Federal Reserve announcements, inflation reports, emerging-market economic data, and changes in risk sentiment. Commodity prices, particularly oil, often influence emerging-market performance. Trade tensions, political events, or credit market stress can trigger sharp directional moves. Corporate earnings surprises within EWY's holdings and shifts in capital flows between developed and emerging markets also matter. Traders monitoring these signals adjust positions on Polymarket, causing odds to shift as new information arrives before the May 28 resolution date.