TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 18?
polymarket

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 18?

Volume:
$144

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 18?

 - Polymarket

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 18? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 18?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on June 18, 2026 is higher than the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on June 18, 2026 is lower than the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If South Korea ETF (EWY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on June 18, 2026 is higher than the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on June 18, 2026 is lower than the Close price for South Korea ETF (EWY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If South Korea ETF (EWY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

The EWY stock price movement market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price data for whether iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWY) will close higher or lower on June 18. The interface displays current bid-ask spreads, cumulative trading volume, and a price chart showing how trader conviction has shifted over time. This market lets you monitor market sentiment on Japanese equity exposure throughout the trading day, with live updates reflecting new information and order flow as the resolution date approaches.

Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts operate on different timescales and methodologies. Analysts typically issue quarterly or annual price targets based on fundamental research, while this market aggregates real-time trader expectations for a single-day outcome. Prediction markets often incorporate breaking news and intraday momentum faster than published analyst reports. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in near-term catalysts that formal research has not yet reflected, or conversely, whether analyst conviction diverges from trader sentiment on the specific date.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares of the Up and Down outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the price of each reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and deeper order books, while wider spreads suggest lower participation or heightened disagreement.

This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the trading day concludes and EWY's closing price is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the closing price on that date to the previous trading day's close. If EWY closes higher, the Up outcome wins; if it closes lower or flat, the Down outcome prevails. Resolution is typically confirmed within hours of market close, allowing traders to settle their positions and collect winnings promptly.

Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before Jun 18, 2026. Macroeconomic data from Japan—such as inflation, employment, or manufacturing reports—often drive ETF sentiment. Bank of Japan policy announcements or currency movements (JPY strength or weakness) can significantly impact Japanese equity valuations. Global risk appetite, US equity performance, and geopolitical developments also influence flows into Japan-focused funds. Earnings surprises from major Japanese companies held in the ETF, or shifts in US-Japan trade relations, may trigger rapid repricing. Traders monitor these signals continuously, adjusting positions as new information becomes available.