TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
EV commodity prices on Sep 1, 2026
kalshi

What will the EV Commodity Index be on Sep 1, 2026?

Volume:
$56,848

Above 1171.24

 - Kalshi

Above 1171.24 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1171.24

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,225
N/A
N/A
$4,929
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1201.24

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,999
N/A
N/A
$5,457
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1181.24

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,478
N/A
N/A
$4,624
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1191.24

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,863
N/A
N/A
$1,805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1221.24

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,422
N/A
N/A
$1,417
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1211.24

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1311.24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,781
N/A
N/A
$3,507
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1281.24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,102
N/A
N/A
$3,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1291.24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,969
N/A
N/A
$1,969
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1231.24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,360
N/A
N/A
$2,292
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1301.24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$1,005
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1271.24

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1251.24

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1241.24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1261.24

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The Truflation EV Commodity Index measures prices of key materials used in electric vehicle production. Tracking this index helps gauge cost pressures in the EV supply chain. On September 1, 2026, the index will reflect accumulated influences from global mining, logistics, and manufacturing dynamics over the preceding months.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the Truflation EV Commodity Index value at exactly September 1, 2026. Any index reading above the respective threshold (ranging from 1171.24 to 1311.24 across the fourteen markets) triggers a "Yes" resolution for that specific market. No alternative outcomes, partial matches, or external interpretations are considered — only the precise numerical comparison matters.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market reflects a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts. While experts may publish their expectations for EV commodity prices, traders on Kalshi are pricing in their own assessments based on current supply-demand dynamics, policy developments, and market sentiment. The gap between these two perspectives can highlight areas of disagreement or emerging trends.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied probability reflecting the collective view of market participants. The platform’s pricing mechanism updates instantly with each trade, allowing users to see how expectations for future EV commodity prices shift. Volume of $56,848 provides insight into the level of interest and liquidity supporting the market’s price discovery process.

This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to authoritative sources such as industry benchmarks, government data releases, and major news outlets to confirm the final EV commodity price levels as of September 1, 2026.

Several signals could shift this market in the coming months, including changes in global EV production rates, new government policies affecting raw material sourcing, supply chain disruptions, and energy price fluctuations. Additionally, technological breakthroughs or shifts in consumer demand for electric vehicles may also influence trader sentiment and drive volatility in this market.