TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
EV commodity prices on Oct 7, 2026
kalshi

Will EV commodity prices rise by Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$14,902

Above 1183.41

 - Kalshi

Above 1183.41 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1183.41

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,331
N/A
N/A
$3,073
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1123.41

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,879
N/A
N/A
$2,279
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1133.41

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,076
N/A
N/A
$1,076
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1163.41

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
$395
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1173.41

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
$129
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1143.41

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1153.41

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1193.41

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,840
N/A
N/A
$2,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1263.41

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,600
N/A
N/A
$1,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1253.41

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,400
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1203.41

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$334
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1233.41

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1243.41

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1213.41

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1223.41

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specialized index representing costs tied to electric vehicle (EV) commodities. The focus is on measuring how these commodity prices shift over time, reflecting broader trends in supply, demand, and technological advancements within the EV sector. Outcomes hinge on whether the index surpasses specific thresholds, offering insight into economic health and market expectations.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the Truflation EV Commodity Index as of October 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, ranging incrementally from 1123.41 to 1263.41. For any given market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the published index value exceeds its respective threshold. The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of price performance, with higher thresholds representing more aggressive predictions about commodity price increases. All markets share the same observation date and source, ensuring consistency in data reference. Resolution depends solely on the index value on the specified date, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the EV commodity prices market displays the current odds of the Truflation EV Commodity Index being above 1123.41 on October 7, 2026, as determined by traders on the exchange. You can also view the price history of the contracts, allowing you to see how expectations have shifted over time. The 24-hour volume, currently at $14,752, shows how much trading activity has occurred recently, and the total volume traded to date is $14,902. This provides insight into market interest and participation.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the Truflation EV Commodity Index will be above 1123.41 on October 7, 2026. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to evolving expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official Truflation EV Commodity Index value on October 7, 2026. Traders who correctly predicted whether the index would be above 1123.41 will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The contracts will settle to $1 if the index is above the threshold, and $0 if it is not.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements regarding electric vehicle production, battery technology advancements, or government policies related to EV adoption could all shift expectations. Changes in the prices of key commodities used in EV production—like lithium, nickel, and cobalt—would also be impactful. Geopolitical events affecting supply chains or energy markets could also move the market. Unexpected economic data releases or shifts in investor sentiment towards the EV sector are additional signals to watch as the resolution date approaches.